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Recent Articles
- Is It Really 'Game On' for Reconciliation? - February 22, 2010
- The divide between health care supporters and health care opponents on the President's introduction of his health care bill and embrace of reconciliation is stunning. ...
- Possibility of a Republican Senate Grows - February 15, 2010
- Evan Bayh's surprise announcement that he would not seek a third term has sent shockwaves through the pundit class on an otherwise quiet President’s Day. It...
- Is The Senate Also In Play? - January 24, 2010
- Last Tuesday I challenged the conventional wisdom that the House of Representatives is not in play. After Scott Brown’s five-point victory in Massachusetts, it is...
- The House Is Very Much In Play - January 18, 2010
- With Scott Brown rushing toward the finish line with Martha Coakley in D+12 Massachusetts, apparently (if the polls are to be believed) ahead by a nose, you’d...
- A Close Brown-Coakley Finish Would Be a Big Deal - January 12, 2010
- In anticipation of a possibly close race in Massachusetts next Tuesday, some analysts are preparing to write off the race as a special election fluke. Marc Ambinder,...
- Don't Expect The House To Kill The Senate Bill - December 21, 2009
- Both sides of the blogosphere are lately consumed with trying to figure out how the Senate health care bill might still be derailed. Mainstream news outlets are joining...
- The Health Care Bill Is Political Suicide - December 18, 2009
- Health reform is shuffling toward its endgame, and even though the bill's popularity resembles George Bush's circa 2007, Democrats seem determined to push the bill...
- How Unemployment Affects Midterm Elections - November 24, 2009
- It’s become something of an article of faith within the lay punditry that high unemployment and a weak recovery will seriously weigh down the Democrats’...
- Can the Clinton Coalition Survive Obama? - November 12, 2009
- John Judis and Ruy Teixeira's well-regarded 2002 work The Emerging Democratic Majority begins with a vignette set in Virginia. They tell the story of a telecom executive...
- A Split Decision In November? - October 15, 2009
- Four important elections will be held two-and-a-half weeks from today. There’s a Congressional race in upstate New York, where Republicans will fight, both...
- 2010 Could Easily Be Disastrous For Democrats - September 30, 2009
- In this week’s New Republic, Ed Kilgore writes a piece entitled "Some Revolution: Why The 2010 Election Will Not Be A Repeat Of 1994." The piece is a pretty good...
- Voting For Obamacare Will Not Help Save Democrats' Majorities - September 1, 2009
- There’s a myth circulating in the blogosphere and the punditry, and it is threatening the Democrats’ majorities. It goes like this: In 1994, Democrats...
- Can Republicans Take Obama's Senate Seat In 2010? - August 9, 2009
- The waiting game is finally over. On July 9, Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan announced that she would run for re-election as Attorney General, and would not run...
- Why Obama Isn't Governing From The Center - July 23, 2009
- Clive Crook is confused. He doesn’t understand why Team Obama is tacking so far to the left, and doing so little outreach to the center:
No doubt, but surely even...
- Cap And Trade Vote Shows Promise, Peril For Both Parties - July 6, 2009
- Back in April, I wrote a piece arguing that the Democrats would have trouble governing despite their large majorities in both Houses of Congress. My theory was that...
- There Are No Permanent Majorities In America - July 1, 2009
- Over the past few months, Jay Cost and I have expended quite a few keystrokes identifying the problems realignment theory. But remember, our argument is not simply that...
- New Jersey: Can Christie Beat Corzine? - RealClearPolitics - June 7, 2009
- New Jersey Governor's Race Preview - May 31, 2009
- There’s a statewide race in New Jersey, and Republicans are ecstatic about their chances of winning. The Democratic incumbent is unpopular and the Republicans...
- Is A 2010 Republican Comeback Really Impossible? - May 11, 2009
- I was a little bit surprised about two weeks ago when Stu Rothenberg declared that Republicans' chances of taking back the House were not small, not tiny, but zero. The...
- A Long Term Problem for Republicans - April 28, 2009
- President Obama probably didn’t need any more good news to end his first 100 days. Yet he got it anyway, with a hefty assist from the Republican right. Senator...
- Structural Barriers for Liberals/Progressives - RCP - April 6, 2009
- A Poor Republican Performance In Upstate New York - RCP - March 31, 2009
- Will Democrats Face a 1994 Repeat in 2010? - RCP - March 8, 2009
- Virginia Governor's Preview - RealClearPolitics - February 18, 2009
- Introduction
Virginia Republicans have had a rough time of late. In the past decade they lost two Governor's races, both Senate seats, and control of the state Senate....
- Gov. Paterson Gives the GOP Three Gifts - RealClearPolitics - January 27, 2009