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Jay Cost and Sean Trende
Sean Trende can be contacted at strende@realclearpolitics.com.Subscribe to Jay Cost and Sean Trende RSS Article Feed.
Recent Articles
- The Real Reason The Democrats Can't Govern - April 7, 2009
- Chait's main arguments 1 largely share a belief that Democrats simply need to elect better Democrats who are less beholden to parochial concerns or less attracted to...
- A Poor Republican Performance In Upstate New York - April 1, 2009
- While the outcome of the election may not be terribly important in terms of which member eventually gets to vote in Congress, there may be some more general observations...
- Will Democrats Face a 1994 Repeat in 2010? - March 9, 2009
- Factors Favoring RepublicansThere are some parallels with 1994 that are favorable for Republicans. The first is the tendency of voters to turn out members of the...
- Virginia Governor's Preview - February 19, 2009
- It also will provide an early metric for the GOP's performance in 2010. The party controlling the White House has lost the Virginia gubernatorial race every four years...
- Explaining the Stimulus Vote - January 29, 2009
- For the GOP, it is fairly easy to see why the vote went the way that it did. Assume that Republicans had largely voted "yes." There is a serious downside to such a...
- Gov. Paterson Gives the GOP Three Gifts - January 28, 2009
- While it is dangerous to read too much into special election results of any kind, these "normal" looking results gave some hope to Republicans that their long nightmare...
- Election Review, Part 4: The Midwest - January 19, 2009
- When we turn to the Midwest, the differences appear to be less pronounced. In 1996 Bill Clinton won 100 electoral votes in the Midwest. This cycle, Obama won 97. They...
- Election Review, Part 3: The West - January 18, 2009
- What we see overall in the Pacific West is that Obama performed a few points better than Bill Clinton's share of the two party vote, reflecting the region's gradual...
- Election Review, Part 2: The South Atlantic - January 12, 2009
- As we shall see, this division was characterized by some important interstate differences. Accordingly, we'll be best served by dividing it into sections: West...
- Election Review: Moving Beyond "Permanent Majorities" - January 10, 2009
- As Barone explains, these examples do not fall neatly into the "every thirty years" rubric - or indeed any rubric. The most glaring problem not discussed by Barone is...
- Election Review, Part 1 - January 7, 2009
- We'll spend two essays covering the South. The next installment will cover the South Atlantic.2 Today's focus will be on the East and West South Central divisions.The...