More Election News

• GA-9: Graves, Hawkins Head to Another Runoff
• LA: Don't Believe Hype About Primary Challenge to Vitter
• CO: GOP Strategists Concerned About Governor's Race
• CA: Whom Will Schwarzenegger Back?
• KS-3: Congressional Seat on "Must Have" List for Both Parties
• FL: Crist Says No Commitment in Conversations With Reid
• CO-3: Big Names Wading Into GOP Primary Race
• HI: Hannemann and Abercrombie Officially Begin Primary Battle
• KS: Gloves Are Off as Moran, Tiahrt Battle for GOP Nomination
• MO: Incumbent Congressional Candidates Garner PAC Cash
• RI: Bill Clinton Will Campaign for Caprio
• WV: Capito's Decision Not to Run for Senate Leaves GOP Scrambling
• PA: A Punch and a Counterpunch on Sestak and Israel

Not a typo.

I've been harping on my 1994-is-roughly-the-median-result for Republicans this cycle theme for most of the year.  The latest SurveyUSA poll of Virginia's Fifth Congressional is more than consistent with this theory.  SurveyUSA shows Republican Rob Hurt leading Freshman Democrat Tom Perriello by an astonishing 58%-35% margin.

Now, Perriello was something of a surprise winner in 2008, and it was assumed that he'd have a tough race.  But his district is "only" R+5, Obama almost carried it, and it is much more heavily Democratic at the local level.  There are 41 Democrats in districts with more Republican PVIs.  This, of course, begs the question of what their polling looks like.  I'm guessing that, generally speaking, it isn't pretty.