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Florida Senate: Another Poll Shows Crist Ahead

Florida Senate: Another Poll Shows Crist Ahead

By Tom Bevan - July 20, 2010

The Democratic firm PPP is out with a new poll in the Florida Senate race showing Independent Charlie Crist with a six point lead over Republican Marco Rubio, 35 to 29, with Democratic Kendrick Meek bringing up the rear at 17%. Fifteen percent of those surveyed remain undecided.

Substituting Democrat Jeff Greene for Kendrick Meek (the two are in a primary battle that won't be decided until August 24th), Crist extends his lead over Rubio to 9 points, 38 to 29, with Greene picking up just 13% of the vote.

From PPP's analysis of the results:

"The Democratic Senatorial Primary won't be held until late August and the lack of a unified front in such a contentious election may be hurting the party. Neither Democratic candidate has substantial name recognition; 60% of voters are unsure of their opinion of Jeff Greene and 55% have yet to form an opinion of Congressman Kendrick Meek. Democratic voters are more attracted to Crist than their own party's candidates. However, Meek is more likely to pull votes away from Crist than Greene. Meek is seen more favorably amongst Democrats than Greene; 33:23.

"It is unclear that Crist will be able to maintain his lead. Democrats represent 52% of Crist's supporters. Crist loses support in a horserace that includes the more popular Democrat, Meek versus one that includes Greene, suggesting that as the August 24th Democratic primary approaches and passes and Democrats begin to rally their support behind one candidate, Crist may lose much of his foundation of support."

Overall, Crist leads in the RCP Average by 5.2%. RCP currently ranks this race as a Toss Up.

Tom Bevan is the co-founder and Executive Editor of RealClearPolitics. Email: tom@realclearpolitics.com
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