More Election News

• GA-9: Graves, Hawkins Head to Another Runoff
• LA: Don't Believe Hype About Primary Challenge to Vitter
• CO: GOP Strategists Concerned About Governor's Race
• CA: Whom Will Schwarzenegger Back?
• KS-3: Congressional Seat on "Must Have" List for Both Parties
• FL: Crist Says No Commitment in Conversations With Reid
• CO-3: Big Names Wading Into GOP Primary Race
• HI: Hannemann and Abercrombie Officially Begin Primary Battle
• KS: Gloves Are Off as Moran, Tiahrt Battle for GOP Nomination
• MO: Incumbent Congressional Candidates Garner PAC Cash
• RI: Bill Clinton Will Campaign for Caprio
• WV: Capito's Decision Not to Run for Senate Leaves GOP Scrambling
• PA: A Punch and a Counterpunch on Sestak and Israel

Three new polls highlight the uphill battle facing  incumbent Arkansas Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln. On Sunday, Talk Business Quarterly released a poll conducted on July 17 showing Lincoln trailing Republican John Boozman by 25 points. This morning the Republican polling firm Magellan Strategies released a survey of 897 likely voters taken Monday July 12 showing Lincoln losing to Republican John Boozman by a whopping 31 points.  Late this afternoon, Reuters/Ipsos published the results of its poll of 600 registered voters conducted over the weekend showing Boozman with a smaller but still daunting lead of 19 points.

"In a relative sense she's not in a good position," said Ipsos pollster Cliff Young, in what may be the year's biggest understatement.  One hundred and five days from Election Day, Lincoln is winning the support of fewer than one in three Arkansas voters, on average.  That is unheard of for an incumbent who's been twice elected statewide with more than 55% of the vote.   Lincoln began showing signs of vulnerability in early 2009, when a March survey by the Democratic firm PPP showed her approval rating at an anemic 45%.  By the following January, however, her approval rating had collapsed to just 27%.