Washington 2004 Polls
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Presidential Race            
2004 Electoral Votes: 11 | 2000 Results: Bush 44.6, Gore 50.2, Nader 4.1 (Gore +5.6) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-10/31
-
-
46.0
50.5
-
Kerry +4.5
622 LV
4.0
47
51
-
Kerry +4
801 LV
3.0
45
51
2
Kerry +6
800 LV
3.0
45
50
-
Kerry +5
801 LV
3.0
44
50
2
Kerry +6
618 LV
4.0
45
51
-
Kerry +6
634 LV
4.0
45
52
-
Kerry +7
400 LV
5.0
44
52
-
Kerry +8
801 LV
3.0
44
49
2
Kerry +5
640 LV
4.0
43
54
-
Kerry +11
400 LV
5.0
43
50
-
Kerry +7
801 LV
3.0
45
47
1
Kerry +2
627 LV
4.0
46
51
-
Kerry +5
406 RV
4.9
42
51
2
Kerry +9
405 RV
5.0
38
52
-
Kerry +14
600 LV
4.0
44
51
2
Kerry +7
801 LV
3.0
45
47
1
Kerry +2
646 LV
5.0
44
52
1
Kerry +8
1265 LV
2.8
44.2
52.7
0.5
Kerry +8.5
LV
5.0
42
49
-
Kerry +7
801 LV
3.0
43
48
2
Kerry +5
1,038 LV
3.0
44.7
53.1
0.6
Kerry +8.4
602 LV
4.1
43
51
2
Kerry +8
600 RV
4.0
44
50
4
Kerry +6
801 LV
3.0
42
49
1
Kerry +7
585 LV
4.2
43
51
3
Kerry +8
LV
5.0
44
50
-
Kerry +6
1,162 LV
2.9
44.8
52.6
1.2
Kerry +7.8
n/a
2.9
44.4
52.0
1.5
Kerry +7.6
n/a
3.0
44.4
52.6
0.8
Kerry +8.2
n/a
5.0
41
50
-
Kerry +9
n/a
2.8
45.2
51.6
1.0
Kerry +6.4
500 RV
4.0
44
45
4
Kerry +1
n/a
2.3
44.3
51.7
1.9
Kerry +7.4
654 LV
3.9
44
49
3
Kerry +5
n/a
4.3
44.4
52.5
1.3
Kerry +8.1
500 RV
5.0
41
45
-
Kerry +4
Elway Poll | 4/2-5
405 RV
5.0
41
46
-
Kerry +5
500 LV
4.5
44
50
-
Kerry +6
698 LV
3.2
43
47
-
Kerry +4
975 RV
3.2
43
55
-
Kerry +12


Senate Race            
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Nethercutt
(R)
Murray
(D)
Und
Spread
622 LV
4.0
45
51
-
Murray +6
801 LV
3.0
42
50
8
Murray +8
800 LV
3.0
39
53
7
Murray +14
801 LV
3.0
41
49
10
Murray +8
618 LV
4.0
41
55
1
Murray +14
640 LV
4.0
38
56
1
Murray +18
636 LV
4.0
38
57
1
Murray +19
624 LV
4.0
41
53
1
Murray +12
405 RV
5.0
37
57
-
Murray +20
801 LV
3.0
41
48
11
Murray +7
801 LV
3.0
41
49
10
Murray +8


Gubernatorial Race     
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Rossi
(R)
Gregoire
(D)
Und
Spread
620 LV
4.0
51
45
-
Rossi +6
801 LV
3.0
44
47
9
Gregoire +3
800 LV
3.0
43
48
7
Gregoire +5
801 LV
3.0
42
47
11
Gregoire +5
618 LV
4.0
47
49
1
Gregoire +2
634 LV
4.0
44
50
2
Gregoire +6
801 LV
3.0
43
45
12
Gregoire +2
637 LV
4.0
41
51
2
Gregoire +10
406 RV
4.9
43
49
2
Gregoire +6
405 RV
5.0
38
49
-
Gregoire +11
621 LV
4.0
46
47
3
Gregoire +1


Congressional District 5     
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
McMorris
(R)
Barbieri
(D)
Und
Spread
627 LV
4.0
55
38
6
McMorris +17
586 LV
4.1
51
39
4
McMorris +12
707 LV
4.0
53
39
3
McMorris +14

Congressional District 8     
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Reichert
(R)
Ross
(D)
Und
Spread
664 LV
3.9
49
43
8
Reichert +6
GSSR (D) | 9/29-10/3
500 LV
-
37
47
14
Ross +10
596 LV
4.1
43
45
12
Ross +2

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Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults

* Strategic Vision is a Republican polling firm.
**Zogby/WSJ polls use a questionable internet-based survey methodology.
RCP Polling Information