February 8, 2002

Dems Leaderless, Rudderless
By Tom Bevan

The saying "war changes everything" could be considered an understatement in the world of politics. Just five short months ago, Democrats were united behind the "soft-spoken," hyperpartisan Tom Daschle and beginning to tear at George W. Bush and his policies. Both parties were gearing up for battle, looking for an edge in the 2002 elections. Now Bush is untouchable, hovering high over Congress' head with incredible approval ratings on everything from the war to the economy.

Part of the problem for Democrats is that while Bush has risen, gobbling up headlines and blotting out the political sun like an eclipse, Democrats have failed to find anyone capable of rising with him. Since 9/11, Bush has connected with the American people in a visceral way, reflecting the public's feelings and earning their trust with simple, straightforward talk. Democrats have made no such connection. Without a charismatic, forceful, and sincere leading voice, Democrats are suffering in comparison to the President and losing ground with the American people on a whole host of issues.

By most accounts, Tom Daschle is a smooth operator in the Senate. But recent attempts trying to take on the President have been abysmal failures. Just before Christmas, Daschle tried to played hardball with Bush over the economic stimulus bill. Bush outfoxed Daschle by declaring a compromise with enough votes to pass both chambers of Congress, and when the bill died Daschle was effectively tagged as an obstructionist. Then, in a highly publicized speech on Friday, January 4, Daschle tried to take on Bush over issue of taxes, declaring that Bush's tax package was responsible for the deficit and implying it should be repealed. By the time Daschle arrived at his office on Monday, Bush had swatted him down publicly with his "over my dead body" pledge and Daschle had split his own caucus in two.

Other Democrat "leaders" are not faring much better. Dick Gephardt's high profile of late (rebuttal to the State of the Union, Fox News appearance, speech to the DLC) has done little to help remake him as a "moderate." John Kerry's signature issues, opposing national missile defense and drilling in ANWR, don't carry much weight with the public post 9/11. Even Joe Lieberman can't make news by going to Bush's right on military tribunals and invading Iraq. Nor is the former "Conscience of the Senate" ringing up much political benefit from his Senate Enron investigation.

These men simply do not have the "star power" to take on a President, let alone a War President with an 85% approval rating. It's not an easy job. Still, Democrats have to be disheartened by the fact that they have failed to isolate any policy issue on which Bush is truly vulnerable. It looks increasingly like Democrats will be forced to bide their time and pray that the economy takes another dip this summer.

With generic polls showing Republicans running well above their historical average, Democrats need to find an issue and a leader who can connect with the American people and lead them through the mid-term elections. They need someone who can generate headlines, unite their caucus and be a standard bearer for the '04 Presidential race. It sounds crazy, but the answer might lie in a bearded man roaming the mountains of Tennessee muttering about a "lock box."

Tom Bevan writes for RealClearPolitics.

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