November 30, 2005
Closing the Divorce Divide

By Maggie Gallagher

How is marriage doing in America? Professor Norval Glenn of the University of Texas at Austin surveyed 1,503 Americans 18 years or older and recently released the results in the National Fatherhood Initiative Marriage Survey. (www.fatherhood.org/doclibrary/nms.pdf).

Americans remain profoundly pro-marriage. Eighty-nine percent agree "All things being equal, it is better for children to be raised in a household that has a married mother and father." Only 12 percent describe marriage as "an old-fashioned, outmoded institution."

Sixty percent of Americans are married, and 86 percent of the never-married say they hope to be married someday. Ninety-three percent of married Americans say they would marry their spouses over again.

Nonetheless, the proportion of Americans who are in stable, "very happy" first marriages has dropped 20 percentage points since 1973, according to Glenn's calculations from the General Social Surveys, conducted by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. Delayed marriage, increased divorce, and a slight decline in marital happiness are the reasons.

Who are most likely to be in very happy first marriages? The college-educated are about twice as likely as high school dropouts; the "very" religious are also about twice as likely as those who are only slightly or not at all religious. People who marry directly without first cohabiting are also about twice as likely to succeed in marriage as those who live together.

What's the best age to get married? Earlier than most people think. Teen marriages are high-risk. But the most successful age for marriage was not the late 30s but the mid 20s. "When the quality of marriages is taken into account, however, first marriages of persons in their mid 20s emerge as distinctly more successful than those entered into either earlier or later in life," the report notes, calling this finding one that "has not been previously recognized." If you are 23 and find the right person, you are plenty old enough to make a happy marriage.

Americans are as anti-divorce as they are pro-marriage. Ninety-four percent of Americans agree divorce is a serious national problem; 59 percent think society would be better off if divorces were harder to get; 71 percent disagree with the statement "Either spouse should be allowed to terminate a marriage at any time for any reason." Seventy-three percent support a one-year waiting period "to give the couple a chance to reconsider their decision to divorce." Only 44 percent, however, agreed that, in the absence of violence or extreme conflict, parents should stay together at least until their children are grown. (I wonder if some found this wording confusing.)

Moreover, even divorced Americans express considerable ambivalence about their divorces. More than three-fifths of ever-divorced Americans say they wish they or their spouse had worked harder to save the marriage. (Men were more likely to place the blame on themselves: 35 percent of ex-husbands and 21 percent of ex-wives say they wish they themselves had worked harder.)

The NFI Marriage Survey also provides new evidence that the college-educated now show a special resistance to attitudes of the divorce culture. "College-educated respondents," the report notes, "were less likely than those with less education to say that living together before marriage is a good thing, and they were more likely to say that parents should stay married until their children are grown."

A separate study by University of Maryland sociologist Stephen P. Martin found that divorce rates among the college-educated have declined by half since their peak in the 1970s. He labels this growing evidence of a "divorce divide."

Many factors are no doubt responsible (the better economic position of college-educated men springs to mind). But the NFI Marriage Survey suggests another possibility as well: an information gap. College-educated Americans are undoubtedly the principal consumers of the new social science evidence that divorce hurts kids, and that living together doesn't reduce the risk of divorce.

Taken together, these data suggest a new challenge for those of us concerned about marriage in America: closing the divorce divide by getting better information -- and more practical help -- into the hands of the non-college-educated majority.

Copyright 2005 Maggie Gallagher

Maggie Gallagher

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