November 10, 2005
A Party Finds the Right Words
By E.
J. Dionne Jr.
RICHMOND, Va. -- The ecstatic crowd gathered to celebrate Democrat Tim Kaine's
election as governor of Virginia was ready to shout its assent Tuesday night
to absolutely every applause line. But you could feel the extra jolt of electricity
when Gov. Mark Warner, Kaine's leading supporter, spoke of a certain administration
presiding over the national government about a 100 miles north of here.
Republicans, Warner said, once wanted to ask voters: ``Let's compare how things
are going in Washington versus how things are going in Virginia.'' The experienced
political activists in the room knew what was coming next and began rumbling
their approval when Warner got to his money line: ``We'll take that comparison
any day of the week!''
What was a very good night for Kaine and Warner was a miserable night for President
Bush. Democrats not only won an away game in Virginia but on their home ground
in New Jersey where Sen. Jon Corzine won the day's other gubernatorial contest.
During a vicious campaign, Corzine attributed almost anything bad that was said
about him to Bush and his political architect, Karl Rove.
In California, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger was rebuked on every proposition he
put on the ballot to get around the state's Democratic Legislature. And New
York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a former Democrat turned nominal Republican,
won re-election handily only after doing all he could to separate himself from
the Bush administration, even opposing the confirmation of Chief Justice John
Roberts.
But it was in Virginia, a state that gave Bush 54 percent of its ballots a year
ago, that Democrats had the most to learn. Bush guaranteed that the nation's
eyes would be focused here by campaigning for Republican Jerry Kilgore just
hours before the polls opened. A year ago, Republicans everywhere begged and
pleaded for the boost in turnout among the faithful a Bush rally could once
guarantee. This year, there would be no Bush magic.
The failure of Bush and Kilgore marked the end of the line for a certain style
of Republican politics. Harsh attacks on Kaine for opposing the death penalty
backfired. Kilgore also figured he could ride the old social-issue train to
victory in a Southern state. He declared himself ``the pro-gun, anti-tax, limited-government,
anti-illegal immigration, pro-public safety, pro-death penalty, culture-of-life,
trust-the-people conservative.''
In an interview in his office just before the polls closed, a jovial but slightly
jumpy Warner noted the failure of that predictable litany. Voters, he said,
preferred candidates who dealt with questions that governors ``actually spend
98 percent of their time working on.'' They are the basics: the budget, health
care, education, transportation and job growth, especially in declining areas.
You can already see the outlines of Warner's likely 2008 presidential candidacy
with his talk of a ``sensible center.'' And there is a lovely homeliness to
Warner's description of what voters really want from government. ``They want
to see stuff done,'' Warner says. ``They don't care if it's Republican or Democratic.
They want to see stuff done.''
Yet if Warner was immensely helpful, it was Kaine who won with a notably innovative
campaign. Democrats all over the country will study how this devout Catholic
explained his opposition to the death penalty as a matter of deep religious
concern. The strangest thing is that because the death penalty issue encouraged
Kaine to talk about his faith, it may have helped him with conservative
voters.
``This is a very good proving ground for the belief that Democrats can talk
about values and their faith and it will make a difference,'' said Karl Struble,
a top Kaine adviser.
David Eichenbaum, another Kaine adviser, noted how faith immunized Kaine from
the dreaded L-word. Focus groups were shown ``the worst attacks against Tim
that they would use to make him into a big bad liberal.'' The groups were then
shown footage of Kaine ``talking about the importance to him of his religious
values and convictions.'' The result? ``And almost to a person, they would say
that he must be a moderate or a conservative, and that he couldn't be a liberal.''
And then there were Kaine's proposals to rein in exurban sprawl, which helped
him carry outer suburbs in Prince William and Loudoun counties, something even
Warner had not been able to do. Pete Brodnitz, Kaine's pollster, argued that
outer suburban voters saw controlling growth as a better solution to the region's
transportation problems than more ``taxing and paving,'' as Kaine would put
it.
So, yes, Tuesday's elections will be seen as a rebuke to Bush. But they may
be more important as the moment when Democrats finally figured out how to talk
without embarrassment about God and the practical uses of government.
© 2005, Washington Post Writers Group
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Commentary/com-11_10_05_EJD.html