Wednesday, April 20 2005
NUCLEAR OPTION MELTDOWN:
It's a shame we've come to this point in the battle over judges. Not necessarily a surprise, but a shame nonetheless. The main reason for the showdown, of course, is because Democrats have gone way over the line in using the filibuster in an unprecedented and abusive way.

What's frustrating, however, is that I can't help but think part of the reason we are where we are is because the Republican leadership has mismanaged the public relations part of the battle. This should not be a tough sell to the American people, folks.

Most people would agree that at the very least these judicial nominees deserve a simple up and down vote. It's a basic issue of fairness. Most people would probably also agree - or could easily be persuaded to agree - with the view that the Democrats, who are doing something never before done in the history of the country, are the extremists here.

Yet neither of these arguments has been brought to bear with the general public in any meaningful way. I suspect the average American (who either hasn't followed the debate very closely or hasn't followed it at all) is reading the newspaper or watching television and buying into the notion that Republicans are the ones being "drastic" and "abusive."

So why aren't we seeing a broad-based public relations effort making the Republicans' case to the American people? Where are the ads, the panels, the protests, and other headline-grabbing stunts that could be used to draw attention to the issue?

Don't get me wrong. I understand some of this type of stuff has been taking place. I also understand that it's extremely tough to reach the public through a mainstream media filter that is ideologically inclined to block or distort the message.

Still, if the issue is so important (which it unquestionably is) you would have expected a full-bore media campaign of commensurate value that would work to swing the debate the GOP's way. It certainly doesn't feel like that's what we've gotten.

Instead, it feels as if we've skipped over a couple of steps and are now standing on the edge of the abyss, about to plunge forward with a vote of enormous political consequence. And with all due respect to those who feel confident this scenario will play out favorably for the Republicans, a reasonable case can be made that this vote will end up a disaster for the GOP.

This is doubly frustrating because the math also works in the Republicans' favor. There are more red-state Democrats at risk over this issue than blue-state Republicans. Yet instead of having Senators like Ben Nelson, Ken Salazar, and the rest on the defensive, it's moderate Republicans like John Warner, Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe who are getting pounded - from both sides.

Read this article in today's New York Times and you'll see that many of the Republican moderates still on the fence fully agree that Democrats are way out of line. It's not hard to see that they would be more than willing to pull the trigger on this vote if the Republican party leadership had done a better job laying the ground work and driving public opinion on the issue. The bottom line is that not enough effort was made to give these Senators the cover they need to make this vote.

At this point, it's all water under the bridge. We'll know soon enough whether Senator Frist can muster the votes. Still, I think the Republican leadership has exposed the party to needless political risk by not doing an effective job of framing this debate with the American public.

ROSSI WOULD WIN: So says this story from the Seattle PI:

Without ballots cast by felons, dead voters and non-citizens, Democratic Gov. Christine Gregoire would have lost the 2004 election to Republican Dino Rossi by about 100 votes, according to a statistical report cited by the GOP in its legal challenge to Gregoire's victory.

Later in the story we learn that according to state law Rossi must do more than prove that enough "improper" ballots were cast to give him a victory, he must prove that Gregoire owes her victory to "illegal" votes. Different standard. We'll see what the judge decides.

By the way, if you aren't already visiting our political news page, you should start today. - T. Bevan 11:45 am Link | Email | Send to a Friend

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