Wednesday,
November 24 2004
TERRORISM & SECURITY TRUMPED MORAL VALUES:
These poll numbers from Mason-Dixon's final round of polling
in battleground states (Oct 26-29) contradict the widely
held belief from the exit polling that "moral values"
were the number one issues for voters - particularly Bush
voters.
Question:
Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important
in determining your vote for president this year: (ORDER
ROTATED)
|
BUSH
VOTERS
|
OH
|
MO
|
PA
|
MI
|
IA
|
WV
|
WI
|
AR
|
OR
|
NH
|
FL
|
|
Terrorism/Security
|
43
|
39
|
44
|
42
|
41
|
41
|
41
|
39
|
40
|
40
|
40
|
|
Moral/Family
|
22
|
26
|
23
|
24
|
24
|
24
|
23
|
27
|
24
|
20
|
22
|
|
Economy/Jobs
|
12
|
10
|
12
|
17
|
8
|
13
|
11
|
9
|
13
|
12
|
4
|
|
Health
Care
|
9
|
9
|
10
|
6
|
9
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
6
|
9
|
7
|
|
Iraq
|
7
|
8
|
5
|
6
|
10
|
6
|
8
|
6
|
11
|
8
|
15
|
|
Others
|
7
|
8
|
6
|
5
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
9
|
6
|
11
|
12
|
Question:
Which ONE of the following candidate qualities will be MOST
IMPORTANT in determining your vote for president this year:
(ORDER ROTATED)
|
BUSH
VOTERS
|
OH
|
MO
|
PA
|
MI
|
IA
|
WV
|
WI
|
AR
|
OR
|
NH
|
FL
|
|
Strong
Leader
|
45
|
44
|
41
|
44
|
47
|
50
|
44
|
40
|
46
|
47
|
N/A
|
|
Honest/Trustworthy
|
21
|
19
|
20
|
17
|
18
|
17
|
22
|
22
|
19
|
21
|
N/A
|
|
Religious
Faith
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
15
|
16
|
14
|
13
|
17
|
16
|
11
|
N/A
|
|
Stand
on Issues
|
13
|
15
|
19
|
18
|
14
|
14
|
16
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
N/A
|
|
Others
|
5
|
5
|
2
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
4
|
4
|
N/A
|
I
have more confidence in these pre-election numbers from
Brad Coker and Mason-Dixon than from any of the exit polls.
While moral and family issues were obviously important to
Bush voters, the number one issue was clearly terrorism/security
and President Bush's leadership.
If
there is one reason the Democrats lost this election, it
is 9/11 and the War on Terror. Period. To acknowledge this
reality, however, liberals would be forced to confront their
left-wing opposition to the President's War on Terror and
their attitudes toward the application of American military
force. So instead they prattle on about moral values, gay
marriage and James Dobson.
Democrats
will continue to be at a profound disadvantage in national
elections as long as so many in their party cling to the
post-Vietnam baby-boomer mentality towards the American
military, American power and continue to be conflicted over
whether America is a force for good or evil in this world.
RICHARD
COHEN: While we're on the subject of liberals being
conflicted about America's role in the world, this paragraph
from Richard
Cohen's column yesterday is a perfect example of the
type of attitude I'm talking about:
Iran
is an Islamic (Shiite) theocracy, and it is engaged in
a struggle with Israel that makes as much sense from Iran's
point of view as did, say, the American effort to rid
the world of the Nicaraguan Sandinistas. In its own way,
every country is a bit nuts.
So
the mullahs decreeing that Israel has to be destroyed is
the same as Ronald Reagan's nutty idea that the U.S. had
a moral and strategic obligation to fight communism in Central
America?
This
type of wrongheaded moral equivalency is standard fare in
the modern Democratic Party. As long as it remains, its
members are going to have a very tough time convincing a
majority of Americans that they (and their Presidential
candidates) are up to the task of dealing with the serious
challenges presented in a post 9/11 world. J. McIntyre
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