LOUISIANA VOTERS
June 30, 2008
For more information
contact:
Bernie R. Pinsonat
(225)-383-4509
(225) 405-6797
pinsonat@smor.com
©SOUTHERN MEDIA
& OPINION RESEARCH
ABOUT THE POLL
This statewide poll was developed
and conducted by Southern Media & Opinion Research, Incorporated.
Interviews for this statewide poll
were completed by telephone with 600 likely Louisiana voters from Thursday,
June 26, 2008, through Saturday, June 28, 2008.
The overall margin of error for the
statewide statistics obtained from the survey data is not greater than plus or
minus 4.0 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. In other words, there is a 95% certainty that
the statistics presented from the results obtained on this survey of 600 likely
voters statewide will not be more than 4.0 percentage above or below the figure
that would be obtained if all of the likely voters in the state would have been
interviewed.
The sample error may be larger for subgroup
responses based on attitudinal and demographic variables such as area, age,
etc. There are other sources of
potential error which cannot be calculated including question wording and order
of question presentation.
An
interval sample design was used to select telephone numbers from a sample frame
of telephone numbers for likely voter households.
Respondents were assigned to one of
four geographic areas based on their parish of residence. The four geographic areas along with the
parishes comprising those areas are:
New Orleans metropolitan area, (includes Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, St. Bernard, St. Charles, St. John the Baptist, St. Tammany and Washington parishes); Florida-River Parishes, (includes Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, St. Helena, St. James, Tangipahoa, West Baton Rouge and West Feliciana parishes); Acadiana-southwest, (includes Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Lafourche, St. Landry, St. Martin, St. Mary, Terrebonne and Vermilion parishes); North Louisiana, (includes Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, Concordia, DeSoto, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle, Lincoln, Madison, Morehouse, Natchitoches, Ouachita, Rapides, Red River, Richland, Sabine, Tensas, Union, Vernon, Webster, West Carroll and Winn parishes).
A
quota ensuring representative voter participation by sex in the study was
imposed. A statistical weighting procedure
was employed to normalize the sample to the voter population based on voter age
and race.
The survey was paid for by Southern Media & Opinion Research subscribers.
FREQUENCY RESPONSES—WEIGHTED
BY RACE AND AGE
SAMPLE SIZE (n=600)
SMOR
2929
6.25.08
·
Are
you registered to vote in Louisiana? YES................... 100.0
(IF NO, ASK TO SPEAK
WITH A REGISTERED VOTER) (DNK/WS)........ TERMINATE
·
Would
you rate Louisiana as an excellent, EXCELLENT.............. 11.1
good, not so good or poor place to live? GOOD................... 58.5
NOT SO GOOD............ 16.2
POOR................... 13.0
(DNK/WS)................ 1.2
·
Please
tell me if your impression of the following people is very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable:
VERY SOME SOME VERY (NOT
FAMIL/
FAVOR FAVOR UNFAVOR UNFAVOR DNK/WS)
· President George W. Bush............... 20.7... 25.8... 13.2.... 37.4.... 2.9
· Governor Bobby
Jindal.................. 25.2... 34.1... 20.3.... 15.5.... 4.9
· U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu............. 27.1... 33.9... 16.8.... 17.2.... 5.0
· U.S. Senator David Vitter.............. 16.0... 39.0... 17.2.... 20.5.... 7.4
· State Treasurer John Kennedy........... 24.2... 36.8.... 5.7..... 4.8... 28.5
· Secretary of State Jay
Dardenne........ 15.4... 34.5.... 5.5..... 5.8... 38.7
· the Louisiana State
Legislature......... 5.6... 27.1... 23.7.... 34.7.... 8.9
·
Do
you think Governor Bobby Jindal is doing an EXCELLENT.............. 17.8
excellent, good, not so good or poor job? GOOD................... 39.1
NOT SO GOOD............ 20.0
POOR................... 18.1
(DNK/WS)................ 5.0
·
In
your opinion, does state government YES.................... 18.1
spend tax dollars wisely? NO..................... 75.4
(DNK/WS)................ 6.5
·
Have
you heard or read about the state YES.................... 92.9
legislators increasing their pay? NO...................... 6.5
(DNK/WS)................ 0.6
·
Do
you agree or disagree with a bill recently AGREE.................. 10.1
passed by the state legislature that would DISAGREE............... 87.5
double their salary? (DNK/WS)................ 2.4
·
In
your opinion, should Governor Bobby Jindal YES.................... 80.3
veto the legislators pay raise bill passed by NO..................... 14.7
the legislature? (DNK/WS)................ 4.9
·
If
Governor Jindal does not veto the pay raise BETTER.................. 4.7
bill will that cause your opinion of him to WORSE.................. 52.5
change for the better, for the worse or NOT AT ALL............. 38.6
not at all? (DNK/WS)................ 4.2
·
If
your legislator voted for the pay raise bill, YES.................... 16.2
will you vote for that person if he or she NO..................... 67.6
seeks re-election in three years? (DNK/WS)............... 16.2
·
An
election for U.S. Senator will be held later this year.
If that election were held today between
incumbent U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu, MARY LANDRIEU.......... 45.8
a Democrat, and State Treasurer John Kennedy, JOHN KENNEDY........... 40.3
a Republican, for whom would you vote? (UNDEC/DNK/WS)......... 13.9
·
Please
tell me if your impression of the following candidates for President of the
United States is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or
very unfavorable:
VERY SOME SOME VERY (NOT
FAMIL/
FAVOR FAVOR UNFAVOR UNFAVOR DNK/WS)
· Republican John McCain............. 24.3.... 33.1.... 16.3.... 22.0....... 4.3
· Democrat Barack Obama.............. 30.7.... 12.3.... 11.6.... 40.9....... 4.6
·
If
the election for President were held today JOHN
McCAIN............ 52.2
between Republican John McCain and Democrat BARACK OBAMA........... 35.5
Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (DNK/UNDECIDED......... 12.3
·
Are
you registered to vote as a Democrat, DEMOCRAT............... 56.4
Republican or Independent? REPUBLICAN............. 30.0
INDEPENDENT............ 11.8
(DNK/WS)................ 1.8
·
What
is your age? Are you: (read categories) UNDER
35............... 16.7
35
- 49................ 24.3
50
- 64................ 33.0
65
OR OVER............. 25.4
(WS).................... 0.5
·
(Verify
as necessary: male or female). MALE................... 49.8
FEMALE................. 50.2
·
What
is your race? WHITE.................. 72.0
AFRICAN-AMERICAN....... 25.4
OTHER................... 2.5