In general, I think political journalists wildly over-conclude based on Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial results every time they happen. Consider. In 2001, Virginians elected Democrat Mark Warner. New Jerseyans elected Democrat Jim McGreevey. Warner won by a comfortable margin of five points,  while McGreevey stomped his GOP opponent by nearly 15 points.  By the logic that's typically applied, those two victories should have heralded a banner Democratic year in the following November's congressional elections and all manner of dark talk about what trouble Bush was in. And what happened in fact? The Republicans picked up eight seats.  Eight isn't enough to draw any firm conclusions, but the point is that the loss of the two governor's races meant nothing one way or the...